Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

2/24/2017

Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

The 89th Academy Awards are upon us, this year hosted, for the first time, by late-show host and comedian Jimmy Kimmel. Most nominated this year with 14 nominations is Damien Chazelle's musical La La Land, which ties with only two previous films in Oscar history with this extremely high number of nominations, (All About Eve (1950) and Titanic (1997).)
Following are the predictions and favorites of Film Excess for the ceremony, which seem more uncertain than some other years due to the limited amount of nominated films watched yet. This again is due to the films mostly arriving in a block right around the time of the show and other circumstances.
As usual the 3 short film categories are left out here because I have no qualified opinion about them.

Red marks the person/s or film I predict will win the Oscar
Film Excess favorite marks the person/s or film I hope will win the Oscar

Best Picture

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Best Director

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival Film Excess favorite
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Film Excess favorite
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins Film Excess favorite

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals Film Excess favorite

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis, Fences Film Excess favorite
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water - Taylor Sheridan
La La Land - Damien Chazelle
The Lobster - Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Fillipou Film Excess favorite
Manchester by the Sea - Kenneth Lonergan
20th Century Women - Mike Mills

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival - Eric Heisserer Film Excess favorite
Fences - August Wilson
Hidden Figures - Allison Shroeder
Lion - Luke Davies
Moonlight - Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McCraney

Best Animated Feature

Kubo and the Two Strings Film Excess favorite
Moana
My Life As A Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Best Foreign Film

Land of Mine - Martin Zandvliet, Denmark Film Excess favorite
A Man Called Ove - Hannes Holm, Sweden
The Salesman - Asghar Farhadi, Iran
Tanna - Martin Butler, Bentley Dean, Australia
Toni Erdman - Maren Ade, Germany

Best Documentary Feature

Fire at Sea - Gianfranco Rosi, Donatella Palermo
I Am Not Your Negro - Raoul Peck, Rémi Grellety, Hébert Peck
Life, Animated - Roger Ross Williams, Julie Goldman
O.J. Made in America - Ezra Edelman, Caroline Waterlow
13th - Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick, Howard Barish Film Excess favorite

Best Score

Jackie - Mica Levi
La La Land - Justin Hurwitz Film Excess favorite
Lion - Dustin O'Halloran, Hauschka
Moonlight - Nicholas Britell
Passengers - Thomas Newman

Best Original Song

La La Land: Audition (The Fools Who Dream) - Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul Film Excess favorite
Trolls: Can't Stop the Feeling! - Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, Karl Johan Schuster
La La Land: City of Stars - Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
Jim: The James Foley Story: The Empty Chair - J. Ralph, Sting
Moana: How Far I'll Go - Lin-Manuel Miranda

Best Sound Editing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Production Design

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers Film Excess favorite

Best Cinematography

Arrival - Bradford Young Film Excess favorite
La La Land - Linus Sandgren
Lion - Graig Fraser
Moonlight - James Laxton
Silence - Rodrigo Prieto

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond Film Excess favorite
Suicide Squad

Best Costume Design

Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins Film Excess favorite
Jackie
La La Land

Best Editing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book Film Excess favorite
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Related posts:

Oscars 2016: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2015: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites

What are your predictions and hopes for the 2017 Oscars?

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William Friedkin has died

Born in Chicago, Friedkin accrued TV credits prior to his advance to the big screen as the director of Good TImes (1967), The Birthday Party (1968), The Night They Raided Minsky's (1968) and The Boys in the Band (1970) before his major breakthrough, The French Connection (1971), for which he won his only Oscar. He followed it up with the even bigger smash, The Exorcist (1973), arguably the best horror film of all time, for which he was Oscar-nominated. Later credits include Sorcerer (1977), Cruising (1980), To Live and Die in L.A. (1985), Rampage (1987), Rules of Engagement (2000), Killer Joe (2011) and The Devil and Father Amorth (2017, documentary). Friedkin passed away at age 87. R.I.P.

Louise Fletcher has passed away

Born in Alabama to deaf parents, Fletcher got her first credits in late-1950s TV-series.She took a 10 year-long sabbatical to devote her time to motherhood after the release of A Gathering of Eagles, but then came back and soon saw her career's most important part, as Nurse Ratched in One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), for which she won her sole Oscar. Later credits include Exorcist II: The Heretic (1977), The Lucky Star (1980), Brainstorm (1983), Two Moon Junction (1988), Cruel Intentions (1999), A Perfect Man (2013) and many more. Fletcher passed away at age 88. R.I.P.

Jean-Luc Godard has passed away

Born in Paris, France, Godard lived much of his life in Switzerland. He wrote for French film criticism magazine Cahiers du Cinema and became foundational for the New French Wave that inspired new waves in scores of other countries across the world with his Breathless (1960). Later credits include A Woman Is A Woman (1961), Vivre Sa Vie (1962), Le Petit Soldat (1962), Contempt (1963), Alphaville (1965), Pierrot le Fou (1965), 2 or 3 Things I Know About Her (1967), Weekend (1967), Every Man for Himself (1980), King Lear (1987), Century of Cinema (1995, documentary), Goodbye to Language (2014) and many more. Godard died of assisted suicide at age 91. R.I.P.

Wolfgang Petersen has died

James Caan has died

Caan was born the son of Jewish immigrants from Germany in New York. He got his start on TV in the early 1960s. His credits include El Dorado (1966), The Rain People (1969), Brian's Song (1971, TV movie), The Godfather (1972), - for which he earned his only Oscar nomination, - Slither (1973), The Gambler (1974), Funny Lady (1975), Rollerball (1975), Silent Movie (1976), Hide in Plain Sight (1980), - the only film he also directed, - Thief (1981), Misery (1990), Honeymoon in Vegas (1992), Bottle Rocket (1996), Eraser (1996), Dogville (2003), Elf (2003), Las Vegas (2003-07), Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (2009) and many more. Caan passed away at age 82. R.I.P.

Jean-Louis Trintignant has died

Born in Vaucluse, France, Trintignant's theatrical debut as an actor was in If All the Guys in the World... (1955). Later credits include ...And God Created Woman (1956), The Seven Deadly Sins (1961), Inferno (1964), A Man and A Woman (1966), My Love, My Love (1967), A Man to Kill (1967), The Great Silence (1968), Z (1969), The Assassination (1972), Three Colors: Red (1994), Amour (2012), Happy End (2017) and many more. He also wrote and directed two films in the 1970s. Trintignant passed away at age 91. R.I.P.

Ray Liotta has died

Adopted from an orphenage at a young age, Liotta got hooked on acting in high school. He had various TV credits in the late 1970s and early 80s, with his film debut in The Lonely Lady (1983). Later credits include Something Wild (1986), Field of Dreams (1989), Goodfellas (1990), Cop Land (1997), Hannibal (2001), Blow (2001), Narc (2002), John Q (2002), Identity (2003), Observe and Report (2009), Youth in Revolt (2009), The Details (2011), Killing THem Softly (2012), The Place Beyond the Pines (2012), Shades of Blue (2016-18), The Simpsons (2018, TV-series), Marriage Story (2019), The Many Saints of Newark (2021), Black Bird (2022, TV-series) and many more. Liotta passed away at age 67 in his sleep while on production in the Dominican Republic. R.I.P.

Philip Baker Hall has died

Born in Ohio, Hall didn't start acting until he was 30. His long list of credits include Zabriskie Point (1970), Miami Vice (1987, TV-series), Midnight Run (1988), Ghostbusters II (1989), Cheers (1993, TV-series), Hard Eight (1996), The Rock (1996), Air Force One (1997), Boogie Nights (1997), Seinfeld (1991-98), Rush Hour (1998), The Insider (1999), Magnolia (1999), The Talented Mr. Ripley (1999), Bruce Almighty (2003), Dogville (2003), The Zodiac (2005), Zodiac (2007), Curb Your Enthusiasm (2004-09), Mr. Popper's Penguins (2011), Modern Family (2011-12) and many more. Hall passed away at age 90. R.I.P.

William Hurt has passed away

Born in Washington D.C., Hurt's first film role was the lead in Altered States (1980). Later credits include Body Heat (1981), The Big Chill (1983), Gorky Park (1983), Kiss of the Spider Woman (1985), for which he earned his only Oscar as Best Actor; Chilrdren of a Lesser God (1986), for which he was also Oscar-nominated; Broadcast News (1987), for which he was again Oscar-nominated; Smoke (1995), A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001), A History of Violence (2005), for which he was again Oscar-nominated; The Good Shepherd (2006), Into the Wild (2007), Robin Hood (2010) and many more. Hurt passed away at age 71. R.I.P.

Ivan Reitman has passed away

Born in Chechoslovakia, now Slovakia, Reitman's family fled the Soviet regime to Austria, then Toronto, when he was 4 years old. Reitman broke into movies as a director with Foxy Lady (1971). Later credits include Cannibal Girls (1973), Meatballs (1979), Stripes (1981), Ghostbusters (1984), Twins (1988), Ghostbusters II (1989), Kindergarten Cop (1990), Junior (1994), Father's Day (1997), Evolution (1998), No Strings Attached (2011), Draft Day (2014) and more. Reitman's son Jason Reitman is also a great filmmaker. Reitman passed away at age 75. R.I.P.

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2/24/2017

Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

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